Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 10:50·WAS 21, CAR 20

   (10:50) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep right to 22-C.McCaffrey for 27 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +24pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q4 · 7:23·WAS 21, CAR 21

   (7:23) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short left to 87-J.Bates to CAR 37 for 6 yards (26-D.Jackson) [53-B.Burns].

   +16pp

   WAS
3. 3
   Q1 · 11:29·WAS 0, CAR 0

   (11:29) 22-C.McCaffrey right end to WAS 35 for 15 yards (55-C.Holcomb). PENALTY on WAS-55-C.Holcomb, Horse Collar Tackle, 15 yards, enforced at WAS 35.

   +14pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q4 · 3:05·WAS 24, CAR 21

   (3:05) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 22-C.McCaffrey to CAR 34 for 2 yards (31-K.Curl).

   +12pp

   WAS
5. 5
   Q3 · 9:26·WAS 20, CAR 14

   (9:26) (Shotgun) 4-T.Heinicke pass short left to 1-D.Carter for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   WAS