Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:25·CLE 16, NYJ 23

   (1:25) 6-B.Mayfield left guard to NYJ 16 for no gain (93-T.Basham). FUMBLES (93-T.Basham), recovered by CLE-27-K.Hunt at NYJ 16. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +14pp

   NYJ
2. 2
   Q2 · 15:00·CLE 3, NYJ 7

   (15:00) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at CLE 30 for -8 yards (50-F.Luvu). FUMBLES (50-F.Luvu) [93-T.Basham], RECOVERED by NYJ-94-F.Fatukasi at CLE 32. 94-F.Fatukasi to CLE 30 for 2 yards (53-N.Harris).

   +11pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q1 · 12:38·CLE 0, NYJ 0

   (12:38) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield pass deep left to 81-A.Hooper to NYJ 33 for 28 yards (31-B.Austin).

   +10pp

   CLE
4. 4
   Q1 · 0:42·CLE 3, NYJ 6

   (:42) 82-J.Crowder pass deep right to 10-B.Berrios for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:24·CLE 16, NYJ 20

   (3:24) (Shotgun) 6-B.Mayfield sacked at CLE 7 for -8 yards (93-T.Basham). FUMBLES (93-T.Basham) [93-T.Basham], touched at CLE 9, RECOVERED by NYJ-91-J.Franklin-Myers at CLE 17.

   +9pp

   NYJ