Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:13·LV 30, NYJ 28

   (:13) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep left to 11-H.Ruggs for 46 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +73pp

   LVR
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:42·LV 24, NYJ 28

   (1:42) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete short left to 15-N.Agholor.

   +36pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:04·LV 31, NYJ 28

   (:04) (Shotgun) 14-S.Darnold pass incomplete deep right (32-D.Leavitt).

   +21pp

   LVR
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:56·LV 24, NYJ 21

   (8:56) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 11-H.Ruggs to LV 46 for 12 yards (40-J.Guidry). FUMBLES (40-J.Guidry), RECOVERED by NYJ-20-M.Maye at LV 44.

   +20pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:11·LV 24, NYJ 28

   (2:11) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass incomplete deep middle to 83-D.Waller. PENALTY on NYJ-20-M.Maye, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 21 - No Play.

   +17pp

   LVR