Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:03·DEN 18, NE 12

   (1:03) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 15-N.Harry [96-S.Harris].

   +22pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:27·DEN 18, NE 12

   (1:27) (Shotgun) 11-J.Edelman pass short right to 1-C.Newton pushed ob at DEN 24 for 16 yards (31-J.Simmons). double reverse pass

   +15pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q1 · 9:38·DEN 3, NE 0

   (9:38) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left intended for 28-J.White INTERCEPTED by 90-D.Williams (96-S.Harris) at NE 34. 90-D.Williams to NE 33 for 1 yard (75-J.Herron).

   +14pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:14·DEN 18, NE 12

   (1:14) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton sacked at DEN 30 for -6 yards (59-M.Reed).

   +11pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q1 · 14:27·DEN 0, NE 0

   (14:27) (Shotgun) 3-D.Lock pass deep right to 81-T.Patrick to NE 30 for 41 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +11pp

   DEN