Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 3:37·TB 3, CHI 0

   (3:37) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass deep right intended for 12-A.Robinson INTERCEPTED by 24-C.Davis at TB 16. 24-C.Davis pushed ob at 50 for 34 yards (70-B.Massie).

   +23pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:38·TB 19, CHI 20

   (:38) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete deep middle to 84-C.Brate (36-D.Houston-Carson).

   +20pp

   CHI
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:54·TB 19, CHI 17

   (1:54) (Shotgun) 9-N.Foles pass short left to 17-A.Miller ran ob at TB 41 for 10 yards (23-S.Murphy-Bunting).

   +16pp

   CHI
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:37·TB 13, CHI 7

   (1:37) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete short middle to 30-K.Vaughn (23-K.Fuller) [97-M.Edwards]. The Replay Official reviewed the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 30-K.Vaughn to TB 26 for 1 yard (23-K.Fuller) [97-M.Edwards]. FUMBLES (23-K.Fuller), RECOVERED by CHI-94-R.Quinn at TB 27. TB-30-K.Vaughn was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +15pp

   CHI
5. 5
   Q4 · 8:42·TB 16, CHI 17

   (8:42) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski to CHI 27 for 23 yards (39-E.Jackson; 50-B.Mingo).

   +13pp

   TAM