Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 9:31·KC 19, DET 13

   (9:31) 33-K.Johnson up the middle to KC 1 for no gain (98-X.Williams). FUMBLES (98-X.Williams), RECOVERED by KC-21-B.Breeland at KC 0. 21-B.Breeland for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +45pp

   KAN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:23·KC 33, DET 30

   (:23) (Shotgun) 31-D.Williams up the middle for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +29pp

   KAN
3. 3
   Q4 · 3:19·KC 27, DET 23

   (3:19) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 17-M.Hall pushed ob at KC 9 for 34 yards (35-C.Ward).

   +22pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q4 · 0:02·KC 34, DET 30

   (:02) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass incomplete deep left (22-J.Thornhill).

   +19pp

   KAN
5. 5
   Q4 · 15:00·KC 20, DET 23

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 15-P.Mahomes pass short middle to 87-T.Kelce to DET 36 for 10 yards. Lateral to 25-L.McCoy to DET 13 for 23 yards (27-J.Coleman).

   +16pp

   KAN