Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q5 · 2:35·IND 7, BUF 7

   (2:35) 2-R.Sanchez punts 34 yards to BUF 35, Center-46-L.Rhodes, downed by IND-44-A.Morrison.

   +56pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:01·IND 7, BUF 7

   (1:01) (Shotgun) 14-J.Webb pass short right intended for 85-C.Clay INTERCEPTED by 41-M.Farley at BUF 37. 41-M.Farley pushed ob at BUF 28 for 9 yards (25-L.McCoy).

   +42pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q5 · 1:39·IND 7, BUF 13

   (1:39) 25-L.McCoy up the middle for 21 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +40pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q5 · 2:00·IND 7, BUF 7

   (2:00) (Shotgun) 14-J.Webb pass deep right to 10-D.Thompson to IND 27 for 34 yards (42-K.Moore II). Caught in flat at IND 26. Penalty on IND-42-K.Moore II, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +38pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:06·IND 7, BUF 7

   (:06) 4-A.Vinatieri 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-46-L.Rhodes, Holder-2-R.Sanchez.

   +36pp

   BUF