Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 12:16·CAR 24, NYJ 20

   (12:16) 15-J.McCown sacked at NYJ 36 for -9 yards (96-W.Horton). FUMBLES (96-W.Horton) [96-W.Horton], touched at NYJ 36, RECOVERED by CAR-59-L.Kuechly at NYJ 34. 59-L.Kuechly for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +42pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q3 · 5:52·CAR 12, NYJ 16

   (5:52) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 54 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +19pp

   NYJ
3. 3
   Q3 · 0:16·CAR 18, NYJ 17

   (:16) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass short middle to 10-J.Kearse to CAR 18 for 42 yards (58-T.Davis).

   +15pp

   NYJ
4. 4
   Q2 · 1:12·CAR 12, NYJ 9

   (1:12) (Shotgun) 15-J.McCown pass deep right to 11-R.Anderson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +14pp

   NYJ
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:23·CAR 12, NYJ 17

   (3:23) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass incomplete short right to 22-C.McCaffrey. PENALTY on NYJ-48-J.Jenkins, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, enforced at NYJ 32 - No Play.

   +13pp

   CAR