Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:14·CIN 19, TEN 17

   (5:14) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short middle to 18-A.Green for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +31pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:42·CIN 20, TEN 23

   (:42) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left to 29-D.Murray for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN [58-C.Lawson].

   +26pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 0:03·CIN 20, TEN 24

   (:03) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass incomplete deep right to 81-T.Kroft (31-K.Byard).

   +16pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q4 · 13:28·CIN 13, TEN 17

   (13:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 84-C.Davis for 20 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Official reviewed the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short middle to 84-C.Davis to CIN 1 for 19 yards (27-D.Kirkpatrick). FUMBLES (27-D.Kirkpatrick), ball out of bounds in End Zone, Touchback.

   +14pp

   CIN
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:56·CIN 6, TEN 14

   (1:56) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass short left intended for 84-C.Davis INTERCEPTED by 21-D.Dennard at TEN 23. 21-D.Dennard to TEN 3 for 20 yards (8-M.Mariota). Penalty on TEN, Illegal Formation, declined.

   +13pp

   CIN