Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·LV 7, BUF 14

   End of half - 2.25 pm

   +57pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:01·LV 7, BUF 14

   (:01) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 30-J.Richard to BUF 32 for 15 yards (24-L.Johnson). Caught at BUF 45, slanting from left.

   +53pp

   LVR
3. 3
   Q2 · 0:41·LV 7, BUF 13

   (:41) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass short middle to 33-D.Washington to LV 39 for 5 yards (24-L.Johnson). FUMBLES (24-L.Johnson), RECOVERED by BUF-58-M.Milano at LV 40. 58-M.Milano for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:20·LV 7, BUF 14

   (13:20) 6-C.Schmidt punts 55 yards to LV 13, Center-69-R.Ferguson. 30-J.Richard to LV 17 for 4 yards (58-M.Milano). FUMBLES (58-M.Milano), RECOVERED by BUF-35-M.Tolbert at LV 14. Penalty on LV-39-K.McGill, Offensive Holding, declined. The Replay Official reviewed the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +12pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 8:54·LV 7, BUF 6

   (8:54) (Shotgun) 5-T.Taylor pass short left to 18-A.Holmes for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in rear corner of end zone.

   +10pp

   BUF