Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 5:07·BUF 17, LV 19

   (5:07) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep right to 18-A.Holmes to BUF 30 for 51 yards (20-C.Graham).

   +15pp

   LVR
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:54·BUF 6, LV 0

   (9:54) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep middle to 14-S.Watkins for 42 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 1:18·BUF 7, LV 0

   (1:18) (Shotgun) 4-D.Carr pass deep middle to 85-K.Thompkins to BUF 4 for 50 yards (23-A.Williams).

   +14pp

   LVR
4. 4
   Q4 · 8:22·BUF 17, LV 19

   (8:22) 6-C.Schmidt punts 34 yards to LV 20, Center-65-G.Sanborn, out of bounds.

   +11pp

   LVR
5. 5
   Q4 · 15:00·BUF 16, LV 19

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep middle to 84-S.Chandler for 29 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   BUF