Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:04·DEN 10, TEN 13

   (1:04) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short middle to 83-A.Derby to DEN 41 for 12 yards (54-A.Williamson). FUMBLES (54-A.Williamson), RECOVERED by TEN-24-D.Stafford at DEN 40. 24-D.Stafford to DEN 40 for no gain (76-M.Garcia).

   +26pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 6:14·DEN 7, TEN 13

   (6:14) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 88-D.Thomas to TEN 7 for 13 yards (30-J.McCourty).

   +14pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q4 · 5:33·DEN 7, TEN 13

   (5:33) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian sacked at TEN 16 for -9 yards (52-A.Wallace).

   +11pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:45·DEN 0, TEN 0

   (10:45) (Shotgun) 8-M.Mariota pass deep left to 82-D.Walker pushed ob at DEN 20 for 23 yards (31-J.Simmons).

   +10pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:29·DEN 7, TEN 13

   (7:29) (Shotgun) 13-T.Siemian pass short left to 10-E.Sanders pushed ob at TEN 18 for 10 yards (30-J.McCourty).

   +8pp

   DEN