Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:23·JAX 19, DET 16

   (11:23) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 85-E.Ebron pushed ob at JAX 8 for 61 yards (37-J.Cyprien).

   +29pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q3 · 0:44·JAX 19, DET 16

   (:44) 15-G.Tate left end to JAX 27 for 1 yard (75-J.Odrick). FUMBLES (75-J.Odrick), RECOVERED by JAX-50-T.Smith at JAX 34. 50-T.Smith to JAX 34 for no gain (68-T.Decker).

   +24pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q3 · 1:30·JAX 19, DET 16

   (1:30) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep left to 12-A.Roberts to JAX 28 for 44 yards (51-P.Posluszny).

   +17pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q3 · 14:16·JAX 9, DET 15

   (14:16) (Shotgun) 5-B.Bortles pass short right intended for 11-M.Lee INTERCEPTED by 31-R.Bush (24-N.Lawson) at JAX 39. 31-R.Bush for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +17pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:31·JAX 3, DET 6

   (11:31) 3-B.Nortman punts 47 yards to DET 45, Center-46-C.Tinker. 12-A.Roberts for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   DET