Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:03·JAX 3, DET 0

   (7:03) (Shotgun) 11-D.Culpepper pass deep left to 81-C.Johnson to JAX 34 for 51 yards (27-R.Mathis). Penalty on JAX-27-R.Mathis, Defensive Pass Interference, declined.

   +17pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q1 · 14:12·JAX 0, DET 0

   (14:12) (Shotgun) 11-D.Culpepper pass short middle intended for 81-C.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 27-R.Mathis at DET 37. 27-R.Mathis to DET 23 for 14 yards (81-C.Johnson).

   +12pp

   JAX
3. 3
   Q2 · 2:29·JAX 17, DET 7

   (2:29) 4-J.Hanson 33 yard field goal is BLOCKED (43-G.Sensabaugh), Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris, RECOVERED by JAX-25-R.Nelson at JAX 8. 25-R.Nelson to JAX 42 for 34 yards (83-J.Owens).

   +10pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·JAX 3, DET 7

   (15:00) 9-D.Garrard pass deep middle to 89-M.Lewis to DET 6 for 29 yards (27-D.Bullocks; 24-K.Pearson).

   +7pp

   JAX
5. 5
   Q2 · 1:09·JAX 17, DET 7

   (1:09) (Shotgun) 9-D.Garrard pass deep right to 18-M.Jones ran ob at DET 15 for 22 yards (27-D.Bullocks).

   +7pp

   JAX