Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·SF 13, BUF 17

   End of half - 2.28 pm

   +39pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 9:41·SF 0, BUF 0

   (9:41) 5-T.Taylor to BUF 30 for -6 yards (91-A.Armstead). FUMBLES (91-A.Armstead), RECOVERED by SF-99-D.Buckner at BUF 28. Fumble forced as T.Taylor's arm hit going back for handoff.

   +19pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q2 · 14:07·SF 9, BUF 7

   (14:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-C.Kaepernick pass deep right to 82-T.Smith for 53 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught near sideline at BUF 25, crossed to middle after catch.

   +16pp

   SFO
4. 4
   Q2 · 3:10·SF 13, BUF 14

   (3:10) (Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy left tackle pushed ob at BUF 48 for 22 yards (33-R.Robinson).

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:35·SF 13, BUF 17

   (4:35) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 22-M.Davis up the middle to BUF 40 for no gain (52-P.Brown, 56-L.McCray).

   +9pp

   BUF