Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 10:02·BUF 3, SF 9

   (10:02) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 10-K.Williams for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught at BUF 15. 15-yds YAC

   +13pp

   SFO
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:02·BUF 0, SF 0

   (10:02) 11-A.Smith pass deep right to 85-V.Davis pushed ob at BUF 8 for 53 yards (23-A.Williams). Caught at BUF 28. 20-yds YAC

   +11pp

   SFO
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:25·BUF 0, SF 3

   2-D.Akers kicks 68 yards from SF 35 to BUF -3. 21-L.McKelvin to SF 44 for 59 yards (26-T.Brock).

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:58·BUF 3, SF 10

   (:58) 7-C.Kaepernick left end to BUF 20 for 6 yards (50-N.Barnett). FUMBLES (50-N.Barnett), RECOVERED by BUF-99-M.Dareus at BUF 17. 99-M.Dareus to BUF 17 for no gain (46-D.Walker). 3-yds of loose ball yardage. The Replay Assistant challenged the loose ball recovery ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +10pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:37·BUF 3, SF 10

   (:37) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short left to 84-S.Chandler to BUF 32 for 11 yards (52-P.Willis). FUMBLES (52-P.Willis), RECOVERED by SF-38-D.Goldson at BUF 33. 38-D.Goldson to BUF 28 for 5 yards (22-F.Jackson). 1-yd loose ball yardage The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +9pp

   SFO