Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 1:38·BAL 7, JAX 12

   (1:38) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle intended for 84-E.Dickson INTERCEPTED by 30-D.Coleman at BAL 30. 30-D.Coleman to BAL 29 for 1 yard. PENALTY on BAL-73-M.Yanda, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at BAL 29.

   +16pp

   JAX
2. 2
   Q1 · 6:08·BAL 0, JAX 0

   (6:08) 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to BAL 1 for 2 yards (91-B.McKinney). Baltimore challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 32-M.Jones-Drew up the middle to BAL 2 for 1 yard (91-B.McKinney). FUMBLES (91-B.McKinney), RECOVERED by BAL-53-J.McClain at BAL 1. 53-J.McClain to BAL 1 for no gain (32-M.Jones-Drew).

   +15pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:59·BAL 0, JAX 0

   (8:59) 27-R.Rice up the middle to BAL 34 for 3 yards (52-D.Smith). FUMBLES (52-D.Smith), RECOVERED by JAX-27-R.Mathis at BAL 34. 27-R.Mathis to BAL 34 for no gain (82-T.Smith).

   +12pp

   JAX
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:48·BAL 7, JAX 12

   (1:48) 10-J.Scobee 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-48-J.Cain, Holder-2-N.Harris.

   +8pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q3 · 3:04·BAL 0, JAX 9

   (3:04) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco sacked at JAX 34 for -7 yards (25-D.Lowery).

   +8pp

   JAX