Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:04·DET 39, IND 35

   6-S.Martin kicks 65 yards from DET 35 to IND 0. 11-Q.Bray to IND 12 for 12 yards. Lateral to 33-R.Turbin to IND 6 for -6 yards. Lateral to 10-D.Moncrief to IND 4 for -2 yards. Lateral to 13-T.Hilton to IND 5 for 1 yard. Lateral to 11-Q.Bray to IND 2 for -3 yards. Lateral to 84-J.Doyle to IND -4 for -6 yards. Lateral to 13-T.Hilton to IND -4 for no gain. 13-T.Hilton pass short left to 10-D.Moncrief to IND -5 for -1 yards. FUMBLES, ball out of bounds in End Zone, SAFETY NULLIFIED by Penalty. PENALTY on IND-13-T.Hilton, Illegal Forward Pass, 0 yards, enforced in End Zone, SAFETY.

   +23pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:43·DET 34, IND 34

   (:43) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass short middle to 84-J.Doyle for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:25·DET 28, IND 27

   (8:25) (Shotgun) 12-A.Luck pass deep right to 84-J.Doyle for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 4:11·DET 34, IND 28

   (4:11) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short right to 25-T.Riddick for 13 yards, TOUCHDOWN [93-E.Walden].

   +17pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:21·DET 34, IND 35

   (:21) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short left to 11-M.Jones to IND 25 for 22 yards (31-A.Cromartie).

   +15pp

   DET