Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 15:00·DET 3, IND 7

   (15:00) (Run formation) 34-Kevin Smith left end to IND 25 for -1 yards (55-C.Session). FUMBLES (55-C.Session), RECOVERED by IND-41-A.Bethea at IND 24. 41-A.Bethea to IND 24 for no gain (34-Kevin Smith).

   +15pp

   IND
2. 2
   Q2 · 3:42·DET 9, IND 14

   (3:42) (Run formation) 6-D.Orlovsky pass short right to 81-C.Johnson for 33 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +13pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q4 · 9:32·DET 21, IND 21

   (9:32) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 87-R.Wayne to DET 1 for 39 yards (38-R.Robinson).

   +11pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q3 · 12:29·DET 10, IND 21

   (12:29) 2-N.Harris punts 53 yards to IND 8, Center-48-D.Muhlbach. 31-K.Ratliff to IND 19 for 11 yards (82-C.Fitzsimmons). FUMBLES (82-C.Fitzsimmons), RECOVERED by DET-93-C.Smith at IND 21. 93-C.Smith to IND 21 for no gain (84-J.Tamme).

   +10pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q1 · 0:28·DET 3, IND 7

   (:28) (Shotgun) 6-D.Orlovsky pass short right to 16-J.Standeford to IND 24 for 16 yards (41-A.Bethea).

   +10pp

   DET