Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:05·LV 35, NO 34

   (:05) 3-W.Lutz 61 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-47-J.Drescher, Holder-6-T.Morstead.

   +36pp

   LVR
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:47·LV 35, NO 34

   (Pass formation) TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. 4-D.Carr pass to 15-M.Crabtree is complete. ATTEMPT SUCCEEDS. PENALTY on LV-15-M.Crabtree, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +25pp

   LVR
3. 3
   Q4 · 8:38·LV 25, NO 27

   (8:38) 30-J.Richard left guard for 75 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +23pp

   LVR
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:32·LV 27, NO 27

   (7:32) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 83-W.Snead to LV 26 for 43 yards (25-D.Hayden) [95-J.Ward]. FUMBLES (25-D.Hayden), recovered by NO-13-M.Thomas at LV 12. 13-M.Thomas to LV 2 for 10 yards (38-T.Carrie). Pass 31, YAC 12, 43 total pass yards. 10 yards of fumble recovery yardage.

   +22pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:03·LV 10, NO 23

   (8:03) 68-T.Lelito reported in as eligible. 9-D.Brees pass deep left to 10-B.Cooks for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass 29, YAC 69

   +13pp

   NOR