Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 12:47·CIN 7, BUF 7

   (12:47) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass incomplete short right [95-W.Gilberry]. PENALTY on BUF-3-E.Manuel, Intentional Grounding, 18 yards, enforced at BUF 20. Spot foul, ball placed at point of pass, due to it being more than 10 yds. behind line of scrimmage.

   +11pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q3 · 12:25·CIN 17, BUF 14

   (12:25) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass deep middle to 82-M.Jones to BUF 16 for 42 yards (24-S.Gilmore). Caught in coverage at BUF 16.

   +11pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:24·CIN 13, BUF 7

   (10:24) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 25-G.Bernard right guard for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q2 · 15:00·CIN 7, BUF 7

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 40, and recovers at BUF 49. 14-A.Dalton to BUF 49 for no gain (55-J.Hughes).

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q2 · 11:48·CIN 7, BUF 7

   (11:48) (Shotgun) 14-A.Dalton pass short right to 25-G.Bernard to BUF 26 for 23 yards (27-D.Williams). Swing pass, caught at CIN 47.

   +8pp

   CIN