Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:35·MIN 20, DEN 23

   (:35) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater sacked at MIN 42 for -5 yards (43-T.Ward). FUMBLES (43-T.Ward), RECOVERED by DEN-58-V.Miller at MIN 42. 58-V.Miller to MIN 42 for no gain (63-B.Fusco).

   +24pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q4 · 9:13·MIN 17, DEN 20

   (9:13) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left intended for 88-D.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 22-H.Smith at MIN 47. 22-H.Smith to MIN 47 for no gain (88-D.Thomas).

   +16pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 10:09·MIN 16, DEN 20

   (10:09) 28-A.Peterson up the middle for 48 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +16pp

   MIN
4. 4
   Q2 · 0:32·MIN 3, DEN 13

   (:32) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass short left intended for 12-A.Caldwell INTERCEPTED by 55-A.Barr at MIN 41. 55-A.Barr to DEN 27 for 32 yards (81-O.Daniels).

   +12pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:17·MIN 17, DEN 20

   (7:17) (Shotgun) 5-T.Bridgewater pass deep right to 14-S.Diggs ran ob at DEN 23 for 21 yards.

   +11pp

   MIN