Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 11:44·BUF 3, DEN 7

   (11:44) 18-P.Manning pass deep middle intended for 10-E.Sanders INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Graham at BUF 20. 20-C.Graham to DEN 20 for 60 yards (88-D.Thomas). PENALTY on BUF-95-K.Williams, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at 50.

   +8pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:35·BUF 0, DEN 0

   (5:35) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning pass deep left to 83-W.Welker to BUF 23 for 38 yards (25-D.Searcy).

   +8pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:40·BUF 0, DEN 0

   (5:40) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass incomplete short right to 84-S.Chandler (54-B.Marshall).

   +7pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:26·BUF 0, DEN 0

   (12:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short left to 14-S.Watkins to BUF 43 for 13 yards (29-B.Roby). FUMBLES (29-B.Roby), RECOVERED by DEN-26-R.Moore at BUF 46. 26-R.Moore to BUF 46 for no gain (14-S.Watkins).

   +6pp

   DEN