Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 4:23·DEN 7, BUF 9

   (4:23) 4-B.Colquitt punts 50 yards to BUF 20, Center-66-L.Paxton. 21-L.McKelvin for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: D.Nelson. L.McKelvin has 118 PR yds. in game, 2nd highest in Bills history. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was in bounds ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +21pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q2 · 8:14·DEN 7, BUF 0

   (8:14) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass short middle to 13-St.Johnson pushed ob at DEN 12 for 55 yards (24-C.Bailey). Caught at BUF 44, slanting from left.

   +12pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 5:08·DEN 7, BUF 0

   (5:08) 3-D.Rayner 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left, Center-65-G.Sanborn, Holder-8-B.Moorman.

   +8pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:20·DEN 0, BUF 0

   (12:20) (Shotgun) 23-W.McGahee up the middle to BUF 49 for 24 yards (31-J.Byrd).

   +7pp

   DEN
5. 5
   Q2 · 6:17·DEN 7, BUF 0

   (6:17) (Shotgun) 14-R.Fitzpatrick pass incomplete short left to 86-D.Nelson. Pass tipped in back of end zone, receiver crossing from middle.

   +7pp

   DEN