Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 7:07·TEN 0, BAL 0

   (7:07) 97 - Klug, 68-Stingily report as eligible. 23-S.Greene right guard to BAL 1 for no gain (92-H.Ngata). FUMBLES (92-H.Ngata), RECOVERED by BAL-67-L.Guy at BAL -1. 67-L.Guy to BAL 5 for 6 yards (82-D.Walker). The Replay Official challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld. The ruling on the field stands.

   +20pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:50·TEN 7, BAL 6

   (6:50) 29-J.Forsett left end for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pitch to left.

   +15pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q1 · 2:18·TEN 0, BAL 0

   (2:18) (Shotgun) 7-Z.Mettenberger pass deep right to 15-J.Hunter to BAL 13 for 17 yards (37-D.Gorrer).

   +9pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q1 · 10:21·TEN 0, BAL 0

   (10:21) (Shotgun) 7-Z.Mettenberger pass short middle to 82-D.Walker to BAL 15 for 17 yards (31-T.Brooks; 33-W.Hill).

   +8pp

   TEN
5. 5
   Q3 · 5:42·TEN 7, BAL 13

   (5:42) 29-J.Forsett right tackle for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   BAL