Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:01·MIN 16, BUF 16

   (:01) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass short left to 14-S.Watkins for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Caught in front left corner of end zone.

   +33pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:01·MIN 16, BUF 17

   4-J.Gay kicks onside 15 yards from BUF 35 to 50. 27-S.Prater to MIN 40 for -10 yards. Lateral to 35-M.Sherels to MIN 37 for -3 yards. Lateral to 84-C.Patterson to MIN 37 for no gain (27-D.Williams).

   +28pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:26·MIN 13, BUF 10

   (7:26) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton sacked at MIN 20 for -3 yards (97-E.Griffen). FUMBLES (97-E.Griffen), RECOVERED by MIN-55-A.Barr at MIN 18. 55-A.Barr to MIN 18 for no gain (70-E.Wood).

   +18pp

   MIN
4. 4
   Q4 · 1:27·MIN 16, BUF 10

   (1:27) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep middle to 84-S.Chandler to MIN 36 for 24 yards (22-H.Smith).

   +18pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q4 · 0:25·MIN 16, BUF 10

   (:25) (Shotgun) 18-K.Orton pass deep left to 15-C.Hogan to MIN 2 for 28 yards (29-X.Rhodes). Caught along sideline at BUF 2.

   +18pp

   BUF