Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 4:43·BUF 6, MIN 0

   (4:43) (Shotgun) 7-T.Jackson pass short left intended for 85-G.Camarillo INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Florence at MIN 40. 29-D.Florence for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +21pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q1 · 1:45·BUF 7, MIN 7

   8-R.Longwell kicks 67 yards from MIN 30 to BUF 3. 28-L.McKelvin to BUF 19 for 16 yards. FUMBLES, RECOVERED by MIN-41-F.Walker at BUF 14. 41-F.Walker to BUF 14 for no gain (Team).

   +14pp

   MIN
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:53·BUF 0, MIN 0

   (10:53) (Shotgun) 7-T.Jackson pass deep right to 18-S.Rice to BUF 44 for 46 yards (28-L.McKelvin). Penalty on BUF-99-M.Stroud, Defensive Offside, declined.

   +11pp

   MIN
4. 4
   Q1 · 1:52·BUF 7, MIN 6

   (1:52) 7-T.Jackson pass incomplete deep right to 18-S.Rice. Minnesota challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. 7-T.Jackson pass deep right to 18-S.Rice for 31 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   MIN
5. 5
   Q1 · 13:42·BUF 0, MIN 0

   (13:42) (Shotgun) 4-B.Favre pass short right intended for 85-G.Camarillo INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Florence [52-A.Moats] at MIN 45. 29-D.Florence to MIN 45 for no gain (72-C.DeGeare). MIN-4-B.Favre was injured during the play. His return is Questionable.

   +8pp

   BUF