Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:51·DET 0, CAR 0

   (1:51) 35-J.Bell right tackle to CAR 27 for no gain (20-A.Cason). FUMBLES (20-A.Cason), RECOVERED by CAR-20-A.Cason at CAR 27. 20-A.Cason to CAR 27 for no gain (75-L.Warford).

   +14pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q3 · 2:36·DET 7, CAR 12

   (2:36) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 81-J.Avant for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q2 · 3:21·DET 0, CAR 3

   (3:21) 3-N.Freese 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-6-S.Martin.

   +11pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 2:44·DET 0, CAR 0

   (2:44) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep right to 81-C.Johnson to CAR 30 for 25 yards (20-A.Cason).

   +10pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q4 · 12:32·DET 7, CAR 13

   (12:32) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle intended for 81-C.Johnson INTERCEPTED by 23-M.White (21-T.DeCoud) at CAR 7. 23-M.White to CAR 30 for 23 yards (45-J.Collins).

   +9pp

   CAR