Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 4:03·DET 13, CAR 20

   (4:03) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 20-D.Foster to DET 38 for 2 yards (32-D.Bly). FUMBLES (32-D.Bly), RECOVERED by DET-97-B.Bailey at DET 38. 97-B.Bailey for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Play Challenged by CAR and Upheld. (Timeout #1 by CAR at 03:44.)

   +11pp

   DET
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:14·DET 0, CAR 14

   (4:14) 8-M.McMahon pass intended for 81-A.Hakim INTERCEPTED by 30-M.Minter at CAR 15. 30-M.Minter to CAR 44 for 29 yards (30-C.Schlesinger).

   +10pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q1 · 3:53·DET 0, CAR 7

   (3:53) 17-J.Delhomme pass intended for 81-R.Proehl INTERCEPTED by 42-T.Holt at DET 24. 42-T.Holt to DET 24 for no gain (87-M.Muhammad).

   +7pp

   DET
4. 4
   Q2 · 9:58·DET 0, CAR 7

   (9:58) 17-J.Delhomme pass to 89-S.Smith pushed ob at DET 18 for 44 yards (42-T.Holt).

   +7pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q4 · 2:55·DET 14, CAR 20

   (2:55) 32-R.Smart left end to CAR 36 for 2 yards (93-K.Pritchett).

   +6pp

   CAR