Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   ·MIA 10, BUF 29

   End of quarter - 4.09 pm

   +46pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 9:35·MIA 3, BUF 15

   9-C.Sturgis kicks 67 yards from MIA 35 to BUF -2. 28-C.Spiller for 102 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on BUF, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. Penalty for sideline interference.

   +15pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:23·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (8:23) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass short right to 22-F.Jackson pushed ob at MIA 27 for 28 yards (27-J.Wilson).

   +11pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q1 · 13:12·MIA 0, BUF 0

   (13:12) (Shotgun) 3-E.Manuel pass deep left to 14-S.Watkins to MIA 45 for 28 yards (27-J.Wilson, 31-M.Thomas).

   +9pp

   BUF
5. 5
   Q1 · 2:23·MIA 0, BUF 3

   (2:23) 2-B.Fields punt is BLOCKED by 26-A.Dixon, Center-92-J.Denney, recovered by MIA-34-D.Williams at MIA 17. 34-D.Williams to MIA 31 for 14 yards (57-T.Powell).

   +8pp

   BUF