Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 14:21·DEN 16, HOU 13

   (14:21) 8-M.Schaub pass short right intended for 10-D.Hopkins INTERCEPTED by 20-M.Adams at HOU 31. 20-M.Adams ran ob at HOU 28 for 3 yards. Penalty on HOU-75-D.Newton, Offensive Holding, declined.

   +16pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q3 · 10:43·DEN 16, HOU 12

   (10:43) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass short right to 82-K.Martin for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   HOU
3. 3
   Q1 · 10:32·DEN 0, HOU 0

   (10:32) (Shotgun) 27-K.Moreno up the middle pushed ob at HOU 35 for 31 yards (35-E.Pleasant).

   +10pp

   DEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:14·DEN 16, HOU 6

   (13:14) (Shotgun) 8-M.Schaub pass deep left to 84-R.Griffin pushed ob at DEN 27 for 40 yards (20-M.Adams).

   +9pp

   HOU
5. 5
   Q3 · 4:06·DEN 16, HOU 13

   (4:06) 8-M.Schaub sacked at DEN 36 for -8 yards (91-R.Ayers). FUMBLES (91-R.Ayers), recovered by HOU-84-R.Griffin at DEN 34. 84-R.Griffin to DEN 34 for no gain (92-S.Williams).

   +9pp

   DEN