Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:38·BAL 18, DET 16

   (:38) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass deep middle intended for 13-N.Burleson INTERCEPTED by 26-M.Elam at DET 46. 26-M.Elam to DET 28 for 18 yards (21-R.Bush). PENALTY on BAL-91-C.Upshaw, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at DET 28.

   +34pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q4 · 0:43·BAL 18, DET 16

   (:43) 9-J.Tucker 61 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.

   +26pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:04·BAL 15, DET 16

   (2:04) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass deep middle to 12-J.Jones to DET 45 for 27 yards (26-L.Delmas).

   +23pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:27·BAL 15, DET 16

   (2:27) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle to 80-J.Fauria for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   DET
5. 5
   Q4 · 9:11·BAL 12, DET 10

   (9:11) (Shotgun) 9-M.Stafford pass short middle intended for 18-K.Durham INTERCEPTED by 51-D.Smith at DET 37. 51-D.Smith to DET 34 for 3 yards (35-J.Bell).

   +19pp

   BAL