Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 6:01·DET 0, BAL 0

   (6:01) (Field Goal formation) 4-J.Hanson 45 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-48-D.Muhlbach, Holder-2-N.Harris.

   +13pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q1 · 10:50·DET 0, BAL 0

   (10:50) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass short left to 27-R.Rice to DET 6 for 6 yards (55-L.Foote). FUMBLES (55-L.Foote), ball out of bounds in End Zone, Touchback.

   +11pp

   DET
3. 3
   Q2 · 12:08·DET 0, BAL 9

   (12:08) 5-J.Flacco pass short middle to 85-D.Mason for 62 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Derrick Mason catches pass at midfield and breaks 2 tackles and sprints to end zone.

   +9pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 13:41·DET 0, BAL 3

   (13:41) (Shotgun) 11-D.Culpepper FUMBLES (Aborted) at DET 50, and recovers at DET 50. 11-D.Culpepper to DET 50 for no gain (26-D.Landry).

   +9pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 12:31·DET 0, BAL 0

   (12:31) 27-R.Rice left tackle to DET 14 for 52 yards (41-W.James).

   +9pp

   BAL