Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 3:59·MIA 24, PIT 28

   (3:59) (Shotgun) 33-D.Thomas left tackle to PIT 16 for 55 yards (22-W.Gay).

   +26pp

   MIA
2. 2
   Q3 · 8:17·MIA 17, PIT 20

   (8:17) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass short middle intended for 82-B.Hartline INTERCEPTED by 43-T.Polamalu at MIA 19. 43-T.Polamalu for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. The Replay Assistant challenged the runner broke the plane ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +21pp

   PIT
3. 3
   Q3 · 7:19·MIA 17, PIT 21

   (7:19) (Shotgun) 17-R.Tannehill pass deep right to 42-C.Clay pushed ob at PIT 25 for 40 yards (28-C.Allen).

   +16pp

   MIA
4. 4
   Q3 · 9:08·MIA 17, PIT 13

   (9:08) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger pass short middle to 84-A.Brown for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   PIT
5. 5
   Q2 · 10:54·MIA 3, PIT 7

   (10:54) (Shotgun) 7-B.Roethlisberger sacked at PIT 31 for -2 yards (91-C.Wake). FUMBLES (91-C.Wake), RECOVERED by MIA-94-R.Starks at PIT 31. 94-R.Starks to PIT 31 for no gain (72-C.Wallace).

   +14pp

   MIA