Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:41·NE 30, ATL 23

   (:41) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass incomplete short right to 84-R.White (31-A.Talib).

   +14pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:50·NE 30, ATL 23

   (1:50) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan pass deep left to 11-J.Jones to NE 13 for 49 yards (32-D.McCourty).

   +14pp

   ATL
3. 3
   Q4 · 15:00·NE 13, ATL 10

   (15:00) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep middle to 85-K.Thompkins to NE 38 for 26 yards (25-W.Moore). PENALTY on ATL-25-W.Moore, Unnecessary Roughness, 15 yards, enforced at NE 38. Penalty was for hit to the head.

   +13pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q4 · 14:37·NE 19, ATL 10

   (14:37) 29-L.Blount left guard for 47 yards, TOUCHDOWN. ATL-52-A.Dent was injured during the play.

   +13pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 12:33·NE 20, ATL 10

   (12:33) (Shotgun) 2-M.Ryan sacked at NE 27 for -9 yards (99-M.Buchanan).

   +13pp

   NWE