Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:28·CAR 24, BUF 25

   (2:28) 16-C.Weinke pass incomplete to 87-M.Muhammad (53-K.Newman). Pass batted at BUF 45, right side (receiver further downfield).

   +25pp

   BUF
2. 2
   Q3 · 5:50·CAR 24, BUF 19

   (5:50) 16-C.Weinke pass intended for 81-D.Hayes INTERCEPTED by 58-B.Spoon (22-N.Clements) at CAR 44. 58-B.Spoon for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Pass tipped by N.Clements before INT.

   +23pp

   BUF
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:12·CAR 24, BUF 19

   (11:12) 10-A.Van Pelt pass to 85-J.Riemersma to CAR 30 for 19 yards (33-D.Evans, 27-D.Grant). Caught over middle at CAR 41.

   +12pp

   BUF
4. 4
   Q2 · 9:00·CAR 10, BUF 3

   (9:00) 10-A.Van Pelt pass intended for 37-L.Centers INTERCEPTED by 23-R.Howard at CAR 48. 23-R.Howard to BUF 36 for 16 yards (75-J.Jennings). Receiver and coverage over middle.

   +12pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q1 · 6:33·CAR 3, BUF 0

   (6:33) 10-A.Van Pelt pass to 20-T.Henry to CAR 6 for 40 yards (33-D.Evans, 30-M.Minter). Screen left, caught at 50.

   +12pp

   BUF