Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 10:12·DEN 23, CAR 7

   (10:12) 1-C.Newton pass short left intended for 11-B.LaFell INTERCEPTED by 32-T.Carter at CAR 40. 32-T.Carter for 40 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   DEN
2. 2
   Q2 · 15:00·DEN 13, CAR 7

   (15:00) 8-B.Nortman punts 59 yards to DEN 24, Center-44-J.Jansen. 11-T.Holliday for 76 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +12pp

   DEN
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:21·DEN 17, CAR 7

   (10:21) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 18-P.Manning sacked at CAR 33 for -5 yards (95-C.Johnson). FUMBLES (95-C.Johnson) [95-C.Johnson], RECOVERED by CAR-76-G.Hardy at CAR 34. 76-G.Hardy to CAR 34 for no gain (65-M.Ramirez).

   +10pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:00·DEN 17, CAR 7

   (2:00) 5-M.Prater 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-A.Brewer, Holder-4-B.Colquitt.

   +8pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q1 · 8:48·DEN 0, CAR 0

   (8:48) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 35-M.Tolbert to DEN 23 for 26 yards (20-M.Adams; 57-K.Brooking).

   +8pp

   CAR