Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 1:55·DEN 10, CAR 7

   (1:55) 6-J.Cutler pass short right intended for 19-E.Royal INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Gamble at DEN 31. 20-C.Gamble to DEN 27 for 4 yards (19-E.Royal).

   +16pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 10:48·DEN 10, CAR 10

   (10:48) 17-J.Delhomme pass deep middle to 89-S.Smith to DEN 31 for 38 yards (34-J.Bell).

   +11pp

   CAR
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:28·DEN 7, CAR 6

   (8:28) 17-J.Delhomme pass short right to 89-S.Smith for 15 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +10pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 4:02·DEN 7, CAR 7

   (4:02) (Shotgun) 6-J.Cutler pass short left to 19-E.Royal to CAR 25 for -3 yards (31-R.Marshall). Penalty on DEN-19-E.Royal, Illegal Formation, declined.

   +7pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q2 · 0:17·DEN 10, CAR 17

   (:17) (Shotgun) 35-S.Young left end to DEN 25 for 7 yards (30-C.Godfrey). FUMBLES (30-C.Godfrey), RECOVERED by CAR-96-T.Brayton at DEN 25. 96-T.Brayton to DEN 25 for no gain (74-R.Harris).

   +6pp

   CAR