Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 2:51·PHI 0, NO 6

   (2:51) 7-M.Vick pass short left intended for 87-B.Celek INTERCEPTED by 21-P.Robinson at NO 1. 21-P.Robinson for 99 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on PHI-7-M.Vick, Low Block, 15 yards, enforced between downs. The penalty for a low block during the interception return will be assessed on the ensuing kickoff.

   +35pp

   NOR
2. 2
   Q2 · 14:17·PHI 0, NO 7

   (14:17) (Run formation) 25-L.McCoy right end to NO 4 for 34 yards (95-M.Wilson; 27-M.Jenkins).

   +12pp

   PHI
3. 3
   Q1 · 4:18·PHI 0, NO 0

   (4:18) 34-B.Brown left end to NO 5 for 40 yards (27-M.Jenkins).

   +12pp

   PHI
4. 4
   Q1 · 6:25·PHI 0, NO 0

   (6:25) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass deep middle to 16-L.Moore to PHI 41 for 38 yards (22-B.Boykin). Penalty on PHI-22-B.Boykin, Defensive Pass Interference, declined. Pass 38, YAC 0

   +10pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q3 · 8:42·PHI 10, NO 21

   6-A.Henery kicks 66 yards from PHI 35 to NO -1. 39-T.Cadet to NO 22 for 23 yards (32-C.Polk). FUMBLES (32-C.Polk), RECOVERED by PHI-27-B.Hughes at NO 22. 27-B.Hughes to NO 22 for no gain (95-M.Wilson).

   +9pp

   PHI