Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q3 · 2:07·TB 7, DAL 10

   (2:07) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-T.Romo sacked at DAL 32 for -8 yards (71-M.Bennett). Tampa Bay challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (No Huddle, Shotgun) 9-T.Romo sacked at DAL 32 for -8 yards (71-M.Bennett). FUMBLES (71-M.Bennett) [71-M.Bennett], RECOVERED by TB-21-E.Wright at DAL 31.

   +20pp

   TAM
2. 2
   Q2 · 6:28·TB 7, DAL 7

   (6:28) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 41 yards to TB 38, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 12-J.Shipley MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by DAL-58-O.Lemon at TB 39. PENALTY on TB-56-D.Watson, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, enforced at TB 39.

   +19pp

   DAL
3. 3
   Q3 · 10:35·TB 7, DAL 10

   (10:35) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass incomplete to 29-D.Murray [93-G.McCoy]. Shuffle pass. Tampa Bay challenged the incomplete pass ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo sacked at TB 23 for -6 yards (93-G.McCoy). FUMBLES (93-G.McCoy) [93-G.McCoy], RECOVERED by TB-95-G.Gibson at TB 19.

   +13pp

   TAM
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:15·TB 0, DAL 0

   (14:15) (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass short left intended for 19-M.Austin INTERCEPTED by 25-A.Talib at DAL 29. 25-A.Talib to DAL 24 for 5 yards (17-D.Harris). The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 9-T.Romo pass short left intended for 19-M.Austin INTERCEPTED by 25-A.Talib at DAL 29. 25-A.Talib to DAL 29 for no gain (19-M.Austin).

   +10pp

   TAM
5. 5
   Q1 · 3:32·TB 7, DAL 0

   (3:32) (Shotgun) 5-J.Freeman pass short right intended for 28-D.Ware INTERCEPTED by 50-S.Lee at TB 23. 50-S.Lee to TB 23 for no gain (28-D.Ware).

   +9pp

   DAL