Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 5:41·NO 7, CAR 6

   (5:41) 9-D.Brees pass short right intended for 85-D.Thomas INTERCEPTED by 30-C.Godfrey at NO 9. 30-C.Godfrey for 9 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +18pp

   CAR
2. 2
   Q2 · 11:53·NO 10, CAR 7

   (11:53) 1-C.Newton FUMBLES (Aborted) at NO 8, RECOVERED by NO-52-J.Casillas at NO 8. 52-J.Casillas to NO 8 for no gain (89-S.Smith).

   +12pp

   NOR
3. 3
   Q2 · 5:24·NO 13, CAR 7

   (5:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass deep left to 89-S.Smith to NO 32 for 35 yards (21-P.Robinson).

   +11pp

   CAR
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:18·NO 0, CAR 0

   (12:18) (Shotgun) 9-D.Brees pass short right to 43-D.Sproles to CAR 23 for 25 yards (43-H.Nakamura).

   +10pp

   NOR
5. 5
   Q2 · 3:41·NO 13, CAR 13

   (3:41) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 28-J.Stewart for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   CAR