Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:54·BAL 23, PHI 24

   (:54) (Shotgun) 5-J.Flacco pass incomplete short right to 27-R.Rice.

   +28pp

   PHI
2. 2
   Q4 · 2:15·BAL 23, PHI 17

   (2:15) 7-M.Vick pass short right to 82-C.Harbor to BAL 6 for 19 yards (21-L.Webb). PENALTY on BAL-97-A.Jones, Roughing the Passer, 3 yards, enforced at BAL 6.

   +16pp

   PHI
3. 3
   Q4 · 11:33·BAL 20, PHI 17

   (11:33) 9-J.Tucker 51 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-46-M.Cox, Holder-4-S.Koch.

   +15pp

   BAL
4. 4
   Q2 · 2:36·BAL 14, PHI 7

   (2:36) (Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy up the middle to BAL 11 for -2 yards (21-L.Webb). FUMBLES (21-L.Webb), RECOVERED by BAL-52-R.Lewis at BAL 9. 52-R.Lewis to BAL 22 for 13 yards (7-M.Vick). The Replay Assistant challenged the runner was down by contact ruling, and the play was REVERSED. (Shotgun) 25-L.McCoy up the middle to BAL 11 for -2 yards (21-L.Webb). FUMBLES (21-L.Webb), RECOVERED by BAL-52-R.Lewis at BAL 9. 52-R.Lewis to BAL 9 for no gain (65-K.Dunlap).

   +15pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q1 · 10:22·BAL 0, PHI 0

   (10:22) (Shotgun) 7-M.Vick pass deep middle intended for 82-C.Harbor INTERCEPTED by 31-B.Pollard at BAL -5. Touchback.

   +14pp

   BAL