Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 14:16·PHI 0, BAL 0

   (14:16) (Shotgun) 5-D.McNabb sacked at BAL 32 for -8 yards (95-J.Johnson). FUMBLES (95-J.Johnson), RECOVERED by BAL-95-J.Johnson at BAL 30. 95-J.Johnson pushed ob at PHI 48 for 22 yards (81-J.Avant).

   +20pp

   BAL
2. 2
   Q2 · 2:53·PHI 0, BAL 3

   (2:53) 5-D.McNabb pass short left intended for 10-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed (50-A.Barnes) at PHI 49. 20-E.Reed to PHI 6 for 43 yards. 20-E.Reed pass incomplete short right to 22-S.Rolle. Penalty on BAL-20-E.Reed, Illegal Forward Pass, offsetting, enforced at PHI 6. Penalty on PHI-69-J.Runyan, Unnecessary Roughness, offsetting.

   +16pp

   BAL
3. 3
   Q2 · 1:49·PHI 6, BAL 10

   6-S.Hauschka kicks 70 yards from BAL 30 to PHI 0. 39-Q.Demps for 100 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +11pp

   PHI
4. 4
   ·PHI 0, BAL 0

   GAME Philadelphia wins toss; elects to defer.

   +7pp

   BAL
5. 5
   Q4 · 7:44·PHI 7, BAL 28

   (7:44) 4-K.Kolb pass short middle intended for 10-D.Jackson INTERCEPTED by 20-E.Reed at BAL -8. 20-E.Reed for 108 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +7pp

   BAL