Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 14:14·TEN 6, CAR 0

   (14:14) 7-J.Baker punts 56 yards to TEN 21, Center-44-J.Jansen. 83-M.Mariani for 79 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +14pp

   TEN
2. 2
   Q1 · 5:55·TEN 13, CAR 0

   (5:55) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short left to 17-D.Williams for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +9pp

   TEN
3. 3
   Q1 · 8:24·TEN 7, CAR 0

   (8:24) (Shotgun) 1-C.Newton pass short right to 88-G.Olsen to TEN 10 for 7 yards (92-W.Witherspoon). FUMBLES (92-W.Witherspoon), RECOVERED by TEN-56-A.Ayers at TEN 8. 56-A.Ayers to TEN 8 for no gain (88-G.Olsen).

   +8pp

   TEN
4. 4
   Q3 · 6:25·TEN 17, CAR 0

   (6:25) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short right intended for 82-D.Avery INTERCEPTED by 20-C.Gamble at TEN 43. 20-C.Gamble to TEN 19 for 24 yards (8-M.Hasselbeck).

   +6pp

   CAR
5. 5
   Q1 · 9:30·TEN 7, CAR 0

   (9:30) 1-C.Newton pass short left to 88-G.Olsen to TEN 20 for 16 yards (51-G.McRath).

   +5pp

   CAR