Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 0:19·NYG 23, NE 20

   (:19) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 85-J.Ballard for 1 yard, TOUCHDOWN.

   +38pp

   NYG
2. 2
   Q4 · 1:40·NYG 17, NE 19

   (1:40) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN. NE 87-R.Gronkowski 3rd career 100-yard game.

   +33pp

   NWE
3. 3
   Q4 · 1:07·NYG 17, NE 20

   (1:07) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 85-J.Ballard to NE 33 for 28 yards (58-T.White).

   +20pp

   NYG
4. 4
   Q4 · 2:01·NYG 17, NE 13

   (2:01) (No Huddle, Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 87-R.Gronkowski to NYG 15 for 19 yards (34-D.Grant; 23-C.Webster).

   +16pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q4 · 3:07·NYG 16, NE 13

   (3:07) (Shotgun) 10-E.Manning pass short left to 82-M.Manningham for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on NYG-82-M.Manningham, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs.

   +16pp

   NYG