Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 11:15·NE 29, NYG 28

   (11:15) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass deep right to 81-R.Moss for 65 yards, TOUCHDOWN [53-R.Torbor].

   +28pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q2 · 14:55·NE 10, NYG 13

   3-S.Gostkowski kicks 59 yards from NE 15 to NYG 26. 87-D.Hixon for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +20pp

   NYG
3. 3
   Q4 · 9:59·NE 31, NYG 28

   (9:59) 10-E.Manning pass deep left intended for 17-P.Burress INTERCEPTED by 27-E.Hobbs at NE 48. 27-E.Hobbs ran ob at NE 48 for no gain.

   +14pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:21·NE 0, NYG 0

   (14:21) 10-E.Manning pass deep middle to 17-P.Burress to NE 18 for 52 yards (27-E.Hobbs).

   +11pp

   NYG
5. 5
   Q4 · 8:24·NE 31, NYG 28

   (8:24) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short middle to 33-K.Faulk to NYG 23 for 13 yards (58-A.Pierce) [72-O.Umenyiora].

   +9pp

   NWE