Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q4 · 2:36·IND 17, CIN 26

   (2:36) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass short right to 85-P.Garcon to IND 38 for 5 yards (20-R.Nelson). FUMBLES (20-R.Nelson), RECOVERED by CIN-96-C.Dunlap at IND 35. 96-C.Dunlap for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on CIN-93-M.Johnson, Unsportsmanlike Conduct, 15 yards, enforced between downs. {Garcon credited with a 2 yard reception due to where the fumble was recovered} The Replay Assistant challenged the fumble ruling, and the play was Upheld.

   +28pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q4 · 5:43·IND 17, CIN 20

   (5:43) 4-A.Vinatieri 52 yard field goal is BLOCKED (22-N.Clements), Center-48-J.Snow, Holder-1-P.McAfee.

   +16pp

   CIN
3. 3
   Q4 · 2:42·IND 17, CIN 20

   (2:42) 2-M.Nugent 43 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right, Center-46-C.Harris, Holder-10-K.Huber.

   +13pp

   IND
4. 4
   Q4 · 7:04·IND 17, CIN 20

   (7:04) (Shotgun) 7-C.Painter pass short middle to 17-A.Collie to 50 for 8 yards (51-D.Skuta).

   +11pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 11:42·IND 0, CIN 0

   (11:42) 7-C.Painter pass short right to 44-D.Clark to IND 41 for 6 yards (22-N.Clements). FUMBLES (22-N.Clements), RECOVERED by CIN-93-M.Johnson at IND 44. 93-M.Johnson to IND 44 for no gain (76-J.Reitz).

   +10pp

   CIN