Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q2 · 9:09·CIN 3, IND 10

   (9:09) 19-K.Larson punts 47 yards to IND 22, Center-48-B.St. Louis. 10-T.Wilkins MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CIN-86-T.Stewart at IND 25. 86-T.Stewart to IND 25 for no gain (10-T.Wilkins).

   +12pp

   CIN
2. 2
   Q2 · 4:04·CIN 10, IND 10

   (4:04) (Shotgun) 18-P.Manning scrambles up the middle to CIN 37 for 12 yards (59-L.Johnson).

   +9pp

   IND
3. 3
   Q3 · 12:11·CIN 10, IND 17

   (12:11) 29-J.Addai up the middle to CIN 45 for no gain (90-J.Smith, 98-B.Robinson).

   +8pp

   CIN
4. 4
   Q1 · 12:51·CIN 0, IND 0

   (12:51) 9-C.Palmer sacked at CIN 48 for -9 yards (93-D.Freeney). FUMBLES (93-D.Freeney), RECOVERED by IND-92-A.McFarland at CIN 46. 92-A.McFarland to CIN 46 for no gain (65-E.Steinbach). Credit the Colts with a sack of 11 yards

   +8pp

   IND
5. 5
   Q1 · 5:07·CIN 0, IND 3

   (5:07) 9-C.Palmer pass deep right to 85-C.Johnson to IND 44 for 16 yards (25-N.Harper).

   +8pp

   CIN