Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 11:49·NE 0, CLE 3

   4-P.Dawson kicks 51 yards from CLE 30 to NE 19. 34-S.Morris MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by CLE-41-R.Ventrone at NE 19.

   +11pp

   CLE
2. 2
   Q2 · 0:30·NE 7, CLE 17

   (:30) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass short right to 87-R.Gronkowski to CLE 3 for 6 yards (26-A.Elam). FUMBLES (26-A.Elam), RECOVERED by CLE-26-A.Elam at CLE 2.

   +10pp

   CLE
3. 3
   Q2 · 10:05·NE 0, CLE 10

   (10:05) 12-T.Brady pass short left to 34-S.Morris to CLE 2 for 22 yards (26-A.Elam).

   +8pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q1 · 14:05·NE 0, CLE 0

   (14:05) 40-P.Hillis right guard to NE 24 for 18 yards (32-D.McCourty, 31-B.Meriweather).

   +7pp

   CLE
5. 5
   Q2 · 6:35·NE 7, CLE 10

   (6:35) 12-C.McCoy pass deep left to 82-B.Watson to NE 23 for 24 yards (27-K.Arrington, 36-J.Sanders).

   +6pp

   CLE