Top Plays by Win Probability

Plays that swung the outcome the most, ranked by win probability change.

1. 1
   Q1 · 15:00·NE 6, CLE 0

   4-P.Dawson kicks 63 yards from CLE 30 to NE 7. 81-B.Johnson for 93 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +25pp

   NWE
2. 2
   Q1 · 7:19·NE 7, CLE 0

   (7:19) 28-C.Dillon to NE 32 for no gain (61-G.Warren). FUMBLES (61-G.Warren), RECOVERED by CLE-97-A.McKinley at NE 32.

   +13pp

   CLE
3. 3
   Q1 · 7:02·NE 7, CLE 0

   (7:02) 12-L.McCown pass intended for 86-D.Northcutt INTERCEPTED by 37-R.Harrison at NE 4. 37-R.Harrison to NE 4 for no gain (86-D.Northcutt).

   +11pp

   NWE
4. 4
   Q3 · 13:42·NE 27, CLE 7

   (13:42) 31-W.Green left tackle to CLE 47 for no gain (93-R.Seymour). FUMBLES (93-R.Seymour), RECOVERED by NE-21-R.Gay at CLE 41. 21-R.Gay for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

   +8pp

   NWE
5. 5
   Q2 · 7:58·NE 14, CLE 0

   (7:58) (Shotgun) 12-T.Brady pass incomplete to 86-D.Patten. PENALTY on CLE-21-L.Sanders, Defensive Pass Interference, 39 yards, enforced at CLE 44 - No Play.

   +5pp

   NWE